The Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of April 15th, 2012

By Frazier Allen | April 15, 2012 |

Market Commentary by Scott J. Brown, Ph.D., Chief Economist

Scott J. Brown Ph.D., Chief Economist Raymond James Investment Services

The stock market began the week with a (negative) reaction to the March Employment Report (which was softer than expected, but not terrible). Worries about Europe and global growth also weighed against market sentiment – the fear subsided a bit on Wednesday and Thursday, but appeared to return on Friday. Fed officials suggest that monetary policy was conditional on how the economy develops – although no action is expected anytime soon.

The economic data remained consistent with moderate growth and moderate inflation. As expected, the seasonal adjustment dampened the impact of higher gasoline prices in the Consumer Price Index. The core CPI rose 2.3% y/y. The Fed’s Beige Book noted “modest to moderate” economic growth.

Next week, the retail sales report will likely set the tone for the week, although we could see market reactions to any surprises in the other data reports. Fed officials will go quiet (there’s an unofficial blackout period, a week before and after policy meetings, where officials won’t comment on the economy or monetary policy).

Earnings and Europe are expected to remain important factors for the financial markets.

Indices

Consumer Money Rates

Currencies

Commodities

Bond Rates

Treasury Yield Curve – 4/13/2012

S&P Sector Performance (YTD) – 4/13/2012

Economic Calendar

Important Disclosures

US government bonds and treasury bills are guaranteed by the US government and, if held to maturity, offer a fixed rate of return and guaranteed principal value. US government bonds are issued and guaranteed as to the timely payment of principal and interest by the federal government. Treasury bills are certificates reflecting short-term (less than one year) obligations of the US government.

Commodities trading is generally considered speculative because of the significant potential for investment loss. Markets for commodities are likely to be volatile and there may be sharp price fluctuations even during periods when prices overall are rising. Specific sector investing can be subject to different and greater risks than more diversified investments.

Tax Equiv Muni yields (TEY) assume a 35% tax rate on triple-A rated, tax-exempt insured revenue bonds.

Material prepared by Raymond James for use by its financial advisors.

The information contained herein has been obtained from sources considered reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Data source: Bloomberg, as of close of business April 4th, 2012.

©2012 Raymond James Financial Services, Inc. member FINRA / SIPC.

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