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Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of June 10th, 2014

 

F&M Investment Services - Raymond James - Clarksville, TNClarksville, TN – The economic data were mixed. The ISM surveys were consistent with improving activity. The trade deficit was much wider than expected in April, suggesting that next exports will restrain 2Q14 GDP growth to some extent.

The May Employment Report was “boring,” with nonfarm payroll up by 217,000 (vs. a median forecast of +215,000) and a net revision of -6,000 to March and April. The unemployment rate held steady at 6.3%. The trend in job growth has been relatively strong, but not so much that the Fed is going to take the punchbowl away anytime soon.

Frazier Allen

Frazier Allen

After optimistic expectations in the previous week that ECB officials would do a lot to spur the flow of credit, financial markets grew a bit more cautious ahead of the policy meeting.

The ECB did not disappoint, lowering short-term interest rates and making other efforts to improve the flow of bank credit.

Next week, the economic calendar thins out. Retail sales are expected to be the highlight. Stronger vehicle sales have lifted expectation for the May sales figure.

Indices

Last Last Week YTD return %
DJIA 16836.11 16698.74 1.57%
NASDAQ 4296.23 4247.95 2.86%
S&P 500 1940.46 1920.03 4.98%
MSCI EAFE 1961.57 1955.68 2.40%
Russell 2000 1153.94 1140.07 -0.83%

Consumer Money Rates

Last 1-year ago
Prime Rate 3.25 3.25
Fed Funds 0.08 0.09
30-year mortgage 4.14 3.91

Currencies

Last 1-year ago
Dollars per British Pound 1.676 1.536
Dollars per Euro 1.361 1.306
Japanese Yen per Dollar 102.490 99.600
Canadian Dollars per Dollar 1.094 1.035
Mexican Peso per Dollar 12.922 12.737

Commodities

Last 1-year ago
Crude Oil 102.48 93.74
Gold 1245.25 1396.39

Bond Rates

Last 1-month ago
2-year treasury 0.39 0.39
10-year treasury 2.57 2.60
10-year municipal (TEY) 3.77 3.83

Treasury Yield Curve – 6/6/2014

Treasury Yield Curve – 6/6/2014

S&P Sector Performance (YTD) – 6/6/2014

S&P Sector Performance (YTD) – 6/6/2014

Economic Calendar

June 10th  — Small Business Optimism Index (May)
June 12th  — Jobless Claims (week ending June 7th)
Import Prices (May)
Retail Sales (May)
June 13th  — Producer Price Index (May)
Consumer Sentiment (mid-June)
June 16th  — Industrial Production (May)
Homebuilder Sentiment (June)
June 18th  — FOMC Policy Decision, Yellen press conference

Important Disclosures

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. There are special risks involved with global investing related to market and currency fluctuations, economic and political instability, and different financial accounting standards. The above material has been obtained from sources considered reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. There is no assurance that any trends mentioned will continue in the future. While interest on municipal bonds is generally exempt from federal income tax, it may be subject to the federal alternative minimum tax, state or local taxes. In addition, certain municipal bonds (such as Build America Bonds) are issued without a federal tax exemption, which subjects the related interest income to federal income tax. Investing involves risk and investors may incur a profit or a loss.

US government bonds and treasury bills are guaranteed by the US government and, if held to maturity, offer a fixed rate of return and guaranteed principal value. US government bonds are issued and guaranteed as to the timely payment of principal and interest by the federal government. Treasury bills are certificates reflecting short-term (less than one year) obligations of the US government.

Commodities trading is generally considered speculative because of the significant potential for investment loss. Markets for commodities are likely to be volatile and there may be sharp price fluctuations even during periods when prices overall are rising. Specific sector investing can be subject to different and greater risks than more diversified investments.

Tax Equiv Muni yields (TEY) assume a 35% tax rate on triple-A rated, tax-exempt insured revenue bonds.

Material prepared by Raymond James for use by its financial advisors.

The information contained herein has been obtained from sources considered reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Data source: Bloomberg, as of close of business June 5th, 2014.

©2014 Raymond James Financial Services, Inc. member FINRA / SIPC.


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