Topic: Fed

Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of March 17th, 2013

By Frazier Allen | March 17, 2013 |

Market Commentary by Scott J. Brown, Ph.D., Chief Economist

The economic data were mixed, but the stock market continued to focus on the good news and ignored the rest. Retail sales rose more than expected in February, but results varied across sectors. Industrial production picked up, following a weak January (results varied by industry).

The inflation reports showed some pressure from higher gasoline, as anticipated, and moderate core inflation. Treasury reported a smaller deficit than a year ago. Initial claims for unemployment benefits continued to trend lower. Consumer sentiment fell in the mid-March assessment, with a sharp decline in expectations (down to a 15-month low).

The Dow Jones Industrials Average continued to new record highs, up 10 sessions in a row. In contrast to the optimism expressed in equities, bond yields have remained relatively low. «Read the rest of this article»

Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of March 3rd, 2013

By Frazier Allen | March 3, 2013 |

Market Commentary by Scott J. Brown, Ph.D., Chief Economist

Italian election results (a government in deadlock) dampened the party mood in equities. Bernanke monetary policy helped sooth fears that the Fed might end its asset purchase program earlier rather than later. Bernanke said that Fed officials “do not see the potential costs of the increased risk-taking in some financial markets as outweighing the benefits of promoting a stronger economic recovery and more-rapid job creation.”

Leaders in Washington failed to reach an agreement to avoid the sequester, but a deal could be reached as part of an agreement to authorize government spending after March 27th (which is when the current Continuing Resolution ends). «Read the rest of this article»

Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of February 20th, 2013

By Frazier Allen | February 20, 2013 |

Market Commentary by Scott J. Brown, Ph.D., Chief Economist

In his State of the Union Address, President Obama proposed various efforts to boost manufacturing jobs, universal pre-K education and an increase in the minimum wage. However, there’s little chance that any of these proposals will make it to the floor of the House.

The economic data were mixed. Retail sales rose a modest 0.1% in January. Industrial production slipped 0.1%, but figures for November and December were revised higher. The New York Fed’s Empire State Manufacturing Index and the mid-February reading on consumer sentiment surprised to the upside. «Read the rest of this article»

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