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Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of August 27th, 2017

By Frazier Allen | August 27, 2017 |

F&M Investment Services - Raymond James - Clarksville, TN Clarksville, TN – Next week, the economic calendar picks up, with the important figures (nonfarm payrolls, ISM manufacturing) arriving as market participants get set for the three-day weekend. Consumer confidence figures will cover the first half of the month and are therefore unlikely to reflect much of an impact from Charlottesville.

Second quarter GDP growth is likely to be revised higher in the 2nd estimate (a 2.6% pace in the advance estimate).

Frazier Allen

Nonfarm payrolls are expected to have posted a moderately strong gain in the initial estimate for August (but note that monthly figures are reported accurate to ±120.000).

The unemployment rate should be flat or slightly low.

There’s often noise in the average hourly earnings data (hence, a good chance for a surprise), but the trend is likely to remain moderate.

Indices

	Last	Last Week	YTD return %
DJIA	21783.40	21750.73	10.23%
NASDAQ	6271.33	6221.91	16.50%
S&P 500	2438.97	2430.01	8.94%
MSCI EAFE	1919.54	1926.32	13.99%
Russell 2000	1373.88	1358.94	1.23%

Consumer Money Rates

	Last	1 year ago
Prime Rate	4.25	3.50
Fed Funds	1.16	0.40
30-year mortgage	3.95	3.67

Currencies

	Last	1 year ago
Dollars per British Pound	1.280	1.319
Dollars per Euro	1.180	1.128
Japanese Yen per Dollar	109.56	100.53
Canadian Dollars per Dollar	1.252	1.292
Mexican Peso per Dollar	17.726	18.366

Commodities

	Last	1 year ago
Crude Oil	47.43	47.33
Gold	1292.00	1324.60

Bond Rates

	Last	1 month ago
2-year treasury	1.34	1.38
10-year treasury	2.20	2.27
10-year municipal (TEY)	2.88	2.88

Treasury Yield Curve – 08/25/2017

As of close of business 08/24/2017

S&P Sector Performance (YTD) – 08/25/2017

As of close of business 08/24/2017

Economic Calendar

August 29	—	CB Consumer Confidence (August)
August 30	—	ADP Payroll Estimate (August)
	—	Real GDP (2Q17, 2nd estimate)
August 31	—	Jobless Claims (week ending August 19)
	—	Personal Income, Spending (July)
	—	Chicago Purchasing Managers Index (August)
	—	Pending Home Sales Index (July)
September 1	—	Employment Report (August)
	—	ISM Manufacturing Index (August)
September 4	—	Labor Day Holiday (markets closed)
September 6	—	ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (August)
	—	Fed Beige Book
September 15	—	Retail Sales (August)
September 20	—	FOMC Policy Decision (Yellen press conference)

Important Disclosures

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. There are special risks involved with global investing related to market and currency fluctuations, economic and political instability, and different financial accounting standards. The above material has been obtained from sources considered reliable, but we do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. There is no assurance that any trends mentioned will continue in the future. While interest on municipal bonds is generally exempt from federal income tax, it may be subject to the federal alternative minimum tax, state or local taxes. In addition, certain municipal bonds (such as Build America Bonds) are issued without a federal tax exemption, which subjects the related interest income to federal income tax. Investing involves risk and investors may incur a profit or a loss.

US government bonds and treasury bills are guaranteed by the US government and, if held to maturity, offer a fixed rate of return and guaranteed principal value. US government bonds are issued and guaranteed as to the timely payment of principal and interest by the federal government. Treasury bills are certificates reflecting short-term (less than one year) obligations of the US government.

Commodities trading is generally considered speculative because of the significant potential for investment loss. Markets for commodities are likely to be volatile and there may be sharp price fluctuations even during periods when prices overall are rising. Specific sector investing can be subject to different and greater risks than more diversified investments.

Tax Equiv Muni yields (TEY) assume a 35% tax rate on triple-A rated, tax-exempt insured revenue bonds.

Material prepared by Raymond James for use by its financial advisors.

The information contained herein has been obtained from sources considered reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Data source: Bloomberg, as of close of business August 24th, 2017.

About Frazier Allen

Frazier Allen

Frazier Allen, WMS, CRPS, Financial Advisor with F&M Bank
50 Franklin Street | Clarksville, TN 37040 | 931-553-2048

Web Site: http://www.raymondjames.com/frazierallen
Email:

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