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Recent Articles
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Topic: MSCI EAFE
Over the next several months, the pace of job growth is expected to be restrained by a lack of qualified workers. The unemployment rate is likely to remain low (it was 3.9% in April). «Read the rest of this article» Sections: Business | No Comments
Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of December 31st, 2017
Seasonal adjustment is a bit quirky in December and can easily magnify the normal statistical noise in the job market figures (as a reminder, the monthly change in nonfarm payrolls is reported accurate to ±120,000 and the unemployment rate is reported accurate to ±0.2%). Market participants are likely to focus on average hourly earnings, which can be noisy. «Read the rest of this article» Sections: Business | No Comments
Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of December 17th, 2017
The dots in the dot plot did not shift much from where they were in September and were all over the place for the end of 2018 and 2019 – meaning that there is no clear consensus on the pace of policy action (and bear in mind that personnel changes mean that many of these dots will be replaced in 2018). «Read the rest of this article» Sections: Business | No Comments
Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of November 28th, 2017
However, the focus is expected to be on Jay Powell’s Fed chair nomination hearing. Powell is unlikely to speak about the near-term policy outlook (what the Fed will do in December), but lawmakers will ask about his broader approach to monetary policy and banking regulation (expect vigorous questioning from Senator Warren, but he should eventually receive approval in a full Senate vote). «Read the rest of this article» Sections: Business | No Comments
Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of August 27th, 2017
Second quarter GDP growth is likely to be revised higher in the 2nd estimate (a 2.6% pace in the advance estimate). «Read the rest of this article» Sections: Business | No Comments
Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of June 7th, 2017
Retail payrolls fell for the fourth consecutive month (down more than 80,000 since January, which is more than the total number of coal miners). The unemployment rate dipped to 4.3%, a 16-year low, partly reflecting a sharp drop in the rate for young adults (which could reflect a seasonal adjustment issue, although the trend is clearly lower). «Read the rest of this article» Sections: Business | No Comments
Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of February 13th, 2017
Stock market investors were encouraged by the prospect for tax cuts following comments by U.S. President Donald Trump. In contrast, the bond market, recognizing that the process for cutting taxes will be contentious and lengthy, is less fearful of a large boost to the federal budget deficit (hence, bond yields have backed down over the past month). «Read the rest of this article» Sections: Business | No Comments
Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of February 8th, 2017
While January numbers are often suspect due to the magnitude of the seasonal adjustment, the economic data continued to paint a picture of the economy that is in good shape. «Read the rest of this article» Sections: Business | No Comments
Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of January 15th, 2017
Department store sales were weak, but that is a long-term trend (not necessarily a sign of consumer weakness). The PPI was largely in line with expectations, reflecting moderate pipeline inflationary pressures (consistent with further Fed rate hikes in the months ahead). «Read the rest of this article» Sections: Business | No Comments
Clarksville Weekly Market Snapshot from Frazier Allen for the week of December 11th, 2016
None of that disturbed U.S. equity market investors who continued to enjoy the Trump sizzle. After showing some signs of stability, bond yields again moved higher. «Read the rest of this article» Sections: Business | No Comments
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